Sunday, May 4, 2014

Marcus Stroman Demands Your Attention - Fantasy Baseball

Marcus Stroman has been the #2 prospect in the Blue Jays’ system and got the call yesterday not long after Brandon Morrow was placed on the DL. The time to stash, especially in deep leagues, is now!

Stroman started 5 games this year for the AAA Buffalo Bisons and brings a tiny 1.69 ERA and 1.08 WHIP to the Great White North. In his carry-on bag he has 36 strikeouts and just 7 walks over 26.2 innings.


Even though he’s a starter, the Jays will stick him in the ‘pen, at least for the time being. If or when Dustin McGowan falters again, it would be silly not to give the kid Marcus a chance. I believe the Jays brought him up to be a starter, and they may be easing him into it by way of middle relief.


His size is unconventional (5’ 9”), but players under six feet have had success. I’m not about to compare the kid to Pedro, but Sonny Gray with the Oakland Athletics is a great example, and he’s their ace.


Stroman throws heat in the mid-90s and has a nasty slider that’ll make your knees buckle. He has tremendous strikeout potential and will likely maintain a low WHIP, but the ERA may suffer at times. His home park isn’t pitcher-friendly and he’ll live in the AL East. An ERA in the mid-3s is a reasonable expectation.


I plan to pick my spots, i.e. whenever he gets a road start or friendly opponent at home. I’ve added him in mixed leagues and let go of Trevor Bauer. I have no idea what the Indians are thinking leaving him in the minors in favor of Josh Tomlin.

Thursday, April 24, 2014

Fantasy Basketball Recap: Boston Celtics

The Boston Celtics finished the 2013/2014 regular season tied with the Utah Jazz for the 4th-worst record in the NBA at 25-57, and have a 10.3% chance of landing the first pick in this summer's draft. The Celtics haven't been this bad since the 2006/2007 season, the year before Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett came to town. Let's take a look at the fantasy notables for this past season's squad.

Inconsistent Jeff Green
With a Yahoo! preseason rank of 63, Jeff Green had "breakout" written all over him. Someone had to score in that Celtics offense, right? If you owned him, you know all about his inconsistencies, disappearing some games and dominating others. He finished the season with an average rank of 117, nearly doubling is O-rank, but on the bright side led the team with 16.9 PPG and was durable, playing in all 82 games. He has the potential to fill many categories, but I'm probably passing on him next year.

Rajon Rondo returned earlier than expected from a torn ACL and took some time to return to form, finally coming around with 9.8 APG by season's end. Typically a top contributor in steals, he swiped just 1.3 per game, the lowest ratio of his 8-year career. He also shot a putrid 40.3% from the field, again the lowest mark of his career. The season wasn't a complete wash by any means, but I expect him to put together a better season next year if he isn't traded.

Despite Brad Stevens' inconsistent rotation of Humphries/Bass/Olynyk/Sullinger, Jared Sullinger put together a nice season. Sullinger more than doubled his PPG in his second season as a pro, crashed the boards (top 10 in OREB), and even chucked some threes. And I say chucked because he attempted 208 and made just 26% of them. Coach Stevens told his big men to take a three if it's there, and Sully didn't hesitate. Kris Humphries is gone next year, and that will open up some minutes, so if he can bump his FG% up by cutting back on the threes and playing closer to the rim, he'll have top 100 Yahoo! value. He's a higher target for those in leagues with offensive boards.

Brandon Bass is the only other Celtic to appear in all 82 games with Green, and essentially the only player to meet expectations. Per usual, he put up 11 and 5 while shooting nearly 50% from the field and 85% at the line. I expect him to be just as valuable next year unless the Celtics trade him or decide to go with a youth movement.

Kelly Olynyk had a surprising season as I expected him to ride the pine, but Stevens employed a timeshare for his big men, and Olynyk managed to return top 130 Yahoo! value his final 12 games, doing a little bit of everything in 23 min/game. He plays below the rim and doesn't block anyone, but has fair percentages.

Avery Bradley missed some time due to injury, but appeared in 60 games and proved to be one of the better offensive options for the Celtics, raising his PPG average from 9.2 to 14.9 and improving in FG%, 3PT%, and FT%. As it stands, he'll be the starting SG next year with no one in his way.

Tuesday, April 22, 2014

3 Reasons It’s Time to Stash Gregory Polanco – Fantasy Baseball

If you want to win your fantasy league(s), you absolutely have to grab somebody that will produce beyond their expected value. I’ve never won my league without guessing right on a guy outperforming his value. Prospects are harder to predict because we haven’t seen them face MLB talent, but we don’t want to miss out on the next Trout or Puig.

If you’re in a 12-team mixed league or deeper and have more than three bench spots, here are three reasons you should stash Gregory Polanco.

Gregory Polanco lurks behind Victory Field walls
1. Polanco is crushing minor league pitching.
Through 17 games, Polanco is slashing a gaudy .406/.446/.609 in AAA for the Indianapolis Indians. With a 6’4”, 220 lb frame he can hit for power, but more impressive is his knack for stealing bases, swiping 78 the last two years. Last year he struck out just once every six at bats, respectable for a guy who can crank it. This year his offensive prowess has been off the charts, hitting for incredible average against both lefties and righties, and .550 with runners in scoring position to put icing on the cake. Bring ‘em on home!

2. The outfield platoon of Tabata/Snider isn’t working.
Jose Tabata has given the Bucs nothing, slashing a putrid .222/.271/.267. In 19 games he’s scored 4 runs and driven in 4. That’s it. No steals or homers, the latter of which isn’t a surprise, but he came up in the Pirates’ system with a threat of speed. After averaging 17.5 steals his first two seasons, he managed just 3 stolen bases in 4 attempts in 106 games last year. Yawn.

Travis Snider, the other side of Jekyll and Hyde, cannot and will not hit lefties, and has hit a pedestrian .250 in 18 games. We all know what we’re getting with Snider… and it’s not much, other than his perfect fielding percentage, tops in the NL. If only fielding percentage mattered in fantasy...

Tabata has more upside with his speed and could probably benefit from regular at bats, but it appears the Bucs are treating this as a true platoon for the time being.

3. The Pirates are under .500, 6 games back in the NL Central.
The Pirates are 20 games into the young season – and yes, it’s early – but they trail the NL Central- and MLB-leading Brewers and sit in a competitive division (STL, CIN, MIL). Sorry, Cubs.

Pittsburgh is hitting just .238 as a team and could use a boost to say the least. No longer in rebuild mode, there is no time to waste. In the past, the club didn’t bring up previous talents (Andrew McCutchen in 2009) because there wasn’t a need and they simply weren’t in contention. Polanco would fill an immediate need in the outfield with a power/speed combo similar to that of George Springer, who finally got the call for the Astros this year.